Reuters published its Fed survey overnight. In summary from the report: December Rate Cut Likely: Nearly 90% of economists (94 out of 106) expect a 25bps cut in December, bringing the fed funds rate to 4.25%-4.50%. Market pricing shows less than a 60% chance of a December cut, reflecting uncertainty. 2025 Rate Cuts to be […]
The European Central Bank (ECB) has expressed alarm about a possible bubble in the stock market related to artificial intelligence (AI). In its semi-annual financial stability review, the ECB noted that the stock market, especially in the United States, is increasingly dependent on several companies considered leaders in the field of AI. This concentration raises […]
Mexican Peso erases previous gains on global geopolitical developments and dovish comments from Banxico’s Governor. Victoria Rodríguez Ceja’s dovish stance on continued rate cuts reflects efforts to manage inflation amidst economic challenges. Geopolitical risks remain heightened as military actions in Ukraine influence USD/MXN’s volatility. The Mexican Peso erased some of Tuesday’s gains versus the Greenback […]
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By Chuck Mikolajczak NEW YORK (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar rose on Wednesday, restarting its post-election rally after a three-session decline as investors looked for more insight on the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rates and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s proposed policies. Safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen, Swiss franc and the greenback saw a […]
GBP/NZD channels down during November and reaches support at the 50-day SMA. This could be a turning point for the pair and lead to a breakout and continuation of the trend higher. GBP/NZD has been correcting back in a mini channel during November after peaking at the October 30 high. It has now reached support […]
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The Canadian dollar weakened against the greenback on Wednesday, and the yield on benchmark government debt climbed. The was trading 0.2% lower at C$1.3985 to the greenback, or 71.51 U.S. cents, after trading in a range of 1.3951 to 1.3999. Canadian government yields rose 4.2 basis points to 3.377%. The yield on similar U.S. government […]
The main events by the morning: November 20 Source link
Investing.com – Some of the post-election moves in the US dollar have already been partially reversed, and UBS looks for more of a consolidation at these levels rather than an even higher greenback in the near-term. At 06:15 ET (11:15 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other […]
That’s a bit problematic for the ECB as pay growth is seen accelerating once again. That is unlikely to put off a December rate cut though as the wages data here hasn’t really translated to any significant reacceleration in consumer prices. So, the hope for policymakers is that wage pressures should fade going into next […]
