Bank of America says broad market is ‘statistically expensive on almost every metric’ raises year-end price S&P 500 to 6,000 we see limited near-term upside to the cap-weighted S&P 500 and prefer the equal-weighted index, but our bear market signposts — the triggers that typically precede an S&P 500 peak — are not signaling elevated […]
In brief, the argument from the analysts at Bank of America is bullish seasonality: if S&P 500 is up YTD to end of October (not there yet, but looks likely!) the index is nearly 80% of the time for the November-December period median returns of 4% and 4.27% respectively pattern occurs even in election years […]
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